Typhoon 11 is expected to make landfall in Japan some time Thursday, so I’ll be leaving tomorrow for… somewhere. This afternoon, I was thinking Nagoya, but it now looks as if the storm may recurve more dramatically than previously forecast and make landfall closer to Tokyo. I’ve had a sneaking suspicion the past couple of days that such a scenario would occur, but kept quiet as it wasn’t supported very well by model data and flew in the face of the official track forecasts coming out of Weathernews, JMA, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Of course, now that official forecasts are gradually coming around to my original thinking, I wish I had gone out on a limb and said something.
Oh well. Such is the politics of meteorology.
