We're considering Montana/Wyoming/South Dakota for Thursday. The ridge looks to flatten out a bit, allowing a decent shortwave trough to zip across, perhaps providing some support for severe storms. With the Gulf still shut down, moisture won't be all that spectacular, and with the ridge nearby, the cap is going to be strong, but with upper level support and a bit of help from the terrain, perhaps something can happen. Beyond that, the Front Range may be active, especially by the beginning of next week. Wholesale pattern change, however, looks to be a distant hope for the time being.

I said I'd only pay attention to the good setups from here on out, but I'm pretty darn bored. There's no guarantee we'll get a decent shift in the pattern before it's too late to do much chasing, so I guess there's a growing urgency to go after any setup that looks remotely decent. And besides, the Northern Plains makes for great chase territory.

Going to discuss with Eric tonight, and then I guess we'll decide.

UPDATE: Well, the 0Z ETA makes Nebraska look good, so that's where we're headed. Leaving late tomorrow morning, aiming for Grand Island in order to set up for Thursday. Scott Blair will likely hook up with us along the way.

Also, Friday is looking good for eastern Kansas.