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May 10, 2003

Standing Down

The cap is winning. Even the storms in southern Oklahoma have died with the exit of upper level energy. I guess there's always the possibility that wholesale forcing along the approaching cold front may produce a few storms as it plows into the warm sector, but the severe weather threat looks pretty low.

Cooler and drier air will settle in over the Plains the next few days, with shotwave ridging aloft. That means quiet, pleasent weather for a period, save for some rain and possible thunderstorms along the frontal boundary as it stalls in South Texas and perhaps a nocturnal MCS event in the Southern Plains underneath northwest flow Tuesday night. The next truly powerhouse system doesn't look to affect the Plains until this weekend, and even that's up in the air, as the models are having a hard time with the timing. Either way, next week will be nothing like this past week.


Tornado near Attica, KS - May 29, 2004


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