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May 7, 2003

All's Quiet...For Now

Tonight's storm in western North Texas apparently produced at least one tornado near Baird. According to Sam Barricklow, Al Moller was on the storm, and it was a beauty.

Of course.

Once the storm hit more stable air in Eastland County, it died a quick death. A few volume scans, and *poof*, it was gone. Right now, a few storms have either gone up or been re-energized from Wichita Falls, TX to Elk City, OK. As the low level jet cranks up and gives way to warm air advection north of the warm front lifting north through Oklahoma, thunderstorm coverage should increase from Oklahoma City northward. [What direction was that again? --Ed.] It looks like a quiet night here in Dallas-Fort Worth, however, with stable air and a strengthening capping inversion.

After taking a quick tour of tonight's ETA, tomorrow still looks good for Eastern Kansas / Western Missouri, although it looks like surface winds might veer somewhat ahead of the dryline, lessening the tornado threat ever so slightly. Initiation looks like it might come a little bit later compared to Sunday's setup (which is essentially being mimicked), and the best storms might be confined primarily to the warm front in NE Kansas / NW Missouri, the dryline not getting in on the action until later in the period. The system also seems to have slowed some, so everything might end up being shifted a little to the west...in better chase territory.

Finally, following up on the storm which produced damage last night in Denton, TX, the official NWS damage survey concluded it was the result of a downburst rather than a tornado. Apparently, there were two distinct areas of damage separated by a distance of about 2 miles, which would generally be more indicative of a set of downbursts than a tornado.


Tornado near Attica, KS - May 29, 2004


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