It's good to be home for a day.

First, as a follow-up to Sunday's event in the Kansas City area, reports from other chasers on the Platte City storm would seem to verify that a tornado did occur there at about the time we thought we saw one. For some views of the Liberty and Gladstone tornadoes that we didn't get due to our constant placement either within in the hail core or on the edge of the circulation, check out Melanie Metz's photos. Also, I believe the tornado photographed near Richmond was the same wedge we saw emerging from precip near Excelsior Springs, photographed from a much more favorable angle.

Today, Amos Magliocco has been chasing assorted supercells in southwest Missouri and southeast Kansas. As far as I know, he hasn't seen any tornadoes yet on any of the storms, but there have been a few close calls. Meanwhile, here in North Texas, a few slow-moving severe storms have fired along the dryline northwest of Dallas-Fort Worth through the late afternoon and evening. One storm has managed to establish itself nicely over the past hour northwest of Denton, but it appears to be producing nothing more than some large hail at best. I can see this storm from my back porch, and can safely say that it doesn't look all that impressive. And that's why I'm still sitting at home, sipping cocktails (OK, so I'm not sipping cocktails).

Looking ahead...

Tomorrow (Wednesday) looks semi-decent in the Red River Valley, but I suspect the cap will win out in the end. I'm still waiting on tonight's model runs, but unless something changes drastically compared to this morning's run, I might not give much attention to tomorrow's setup, even if it is in my own backyard.

Thursday looks to possibly be another big day in northeast Kansas / northwest Missouri, but the models are having such a difficult time handling the constant barrage of lows ejecting out into the Plains right now that my confidence in that target is pretty low. Friday looks like a down day, with the next big system affecting the Plains on Saturday. Looking ahead to next week, the pattern seems active, but we're getting into crystal ball territory now.